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Monthly labour market data for Australia from January 1992 to April 2024. The dataset contains four related measures: the unemployment rate (\(R\)), total labour force (\(T\)), employed (\(E\)), and unemployed (\(U\)). The measures are linked by the identities $$R = 100 \times \frac{U}{T}, \qquad T = E + U.$$ In addition employment (\(E\)) and unemployment (\(U\)) follow two parallel hierarchies that:

  • share the national total (Australia) at the top level;

  • share intermediate aggregates by gender (Male and Female);

  • are further disaggregated by geography (ACT, NSW, NT, QLD, SA, TAS, VIC, WA) and by age groups (15-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64).

The two hierarchies partially overlap (they share upper-level aggregates), so the complete structure is more general than a hierarchical/grouped time series and can be described as a system of linearly constrained multiple time series.

Usage

# Australian labour market: unemployment, employment, labour force
urates

Format

A data frame (or tibble) with 16296 obs. of 6 variables:

date

First day of the reference month. Range: 1992-01-01 to 2024-04-01.

name

Character; geographic and age-group label.

Rate

Numeric; the observed value of the unemployment rate (\(R\)).

Total

Numeric; the observed value of the total labour force (\(T\)).

Employed

Numeric; the observed value of the employed (\(E\)).

Unemployed

Numeric; the observed value of the unemployment (\(U\)).

Source

Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Labour Force, Australia — monthly time-series tables and Data Explorer extracts. Downloaded from the ABS website: https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/employment-and-unemployment/labour-force-australia.

Details

Then, this is a system of multiple time series subject to both linear constraints (across geographic and age) and non-linear relationships (the definition of \(R\)).

References

Girolimetto, D., Panagiotelis, A., Di Fonzo, T., Li, H. (2024), Forecast reconciliation with non-linear constraints, arXiv. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2510.21249